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2016 Presidential Debates

iStock_000033051076_SmallQuicken Loans arena in Cleveland, Ohio will be the sight of the first Republican debate this summer. On August 6th, Fox News will play host to a cadre of Republicans vying to win the right to call themselves the nominee, which will officially occur, in the same location, a year later.

Yesterday the Fox News Network announced that they will only invite a set of candidates who meet a certain threshold in polling.

Who will meet that threshold – to be determined!

The decision by the network is destined to create a flurry of activity and may very well serves as the “unofficial” first primary in the country. Iowa ,which has traditionally been the first in the nation political caucus/primary, will not take place until February 2nd.

In a joint press release from Fox News and the Ohio Republican Party in order to participate in the debate: “candidates must place in the top 10 of an average of the five most recent national polls, as recognized by Fox News.”

So what does that all mean for the 18 likely and 6 official candidates?   It means campaign season starts earlier and fundraising (think super PACS) become even more important. It means the entire nation will start to see political campaign ads much earlier than normal. It means for the majority of the next 536 days we will see a plethora of TV ads. Who is excited for Election Day 2016?

 Who Makes the Cut?

  1. Jeb Bush
  2. Scott Walker
  3. Marco Rubio (announced)
  4. Rand Paul (announced)
  5. Ted Cruz (announced)
  6. Mike Huckabee (announced)
  7. Ben Carson (announced)
  8. Chris Christie
  9. Rick Perry
  10. Rick Santorum

 

As of now Governor John Kasich falls just .3% out of the top ten (if he chooses to run). Also missing the cut are Senators Lindsey Graham, Carly Fiorina, Governor George Pataki and Governor Jindal.

I expect we will start seeing a few more ads and most likely a few more individuals contemplating a run for the Presidency announce sooner than expected.

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